Win probability
78%Aston Villa
14%Draw
8%Viking
Champions League · Europe
Markets
Over 2.5 goals74%
Over 3.5 goals54%
Under 2.5 goals26%
Both teams score (GG)63%
Double chance 1X92%
Key factors
- ▼Baertelsen outVIK
Baertelsen listed as out (foot) by UEFA ahead of the 4 Nov Champions League match.
- ▼Roseth outVIK
Roseth listed as out (muscular) by UEFA ahead of the 4 Nov Champions League match.
- ▼D'Agostino outVIK
D'Agostino listed as out (knee) by UEFA ahead of the 4 Nov Champions League match.
- ▼Berisha outVIK
Berisha listed as out (thigh) by UEFA ahead of the 4 Nov Champions League match.
- ▼Jensen said Viking have lodged a protest against his red card at Bodø/Glimt; a touchline ban could follow if it is upheld. Captain Zlatko Tripic accused Glimt of a complaining culture.VIK
Jensen said Viking have lodged a protest against his red card at Bodø/Glimt; a touchline ban could follow if it is upheld. Captain Zlatko Tripic accused Glimt of a complaining culture.
- ▼Viking lost 3-2 at Bodø/Glimt in the title showdown; coach Morten Jensen was sent off before half-time after a clash with Kjetil Knutsen. The sides are level on points and goal difference with five rounds left.VIK
Viking lost 3-2 at Bodø/Glimt in the title showdown; coach Morten Jensen was sent off before half-time after a clash with Kjetil Knutsen. The sides are level on points and goal difference with five rounds left.
Preview
Aston Villa have a perfect start in the Champions League: two wins, nine goals scored and two conceded, including a 6-0 home win over Fenerbahçe last week. They followed that with a 1-0 Premier League win at Newcastle on Saturday, with Johan Manzambi scoring. Viking have one point from two games, having scored four and conceded six. Villa are short at left-back: UEFA lists Ian Maatsen (ankle), Matteo Ruggeri (knee) and Aaron Wan-Bissaka (hamstring) as out, with George Hemmings and Manzambi doubtful. Unai Emery said last week that some players were tired or carrying knocks and that he would leave team selection late. Viking travel without five injured players, including forward Nicholas D'Agostino and Veton Berisha. The market makes Villa clear favourites at 77.5% and expects goals, rating over 2.5 at 74%. We found nothing that moves those numbers. The trouble is the price: both the home win and over 2.5 goals are below our 1.30 minimum odds, and over 3.5 goals sits at 54%, under our 55% bar. No pick for this one.
Villa are rightly strong favourites at home, but the prices are too short and over 3.5 goals falls just under our bar. No pick.
FAQ
Who is missing for Aston Villa vs Viking?
Villa are without Ian Maatsen, Matteo Ruggeri and Aaron Wan-Bissaka. Viking miss five injured players, including Nicholas D'Agostino and Veton Berisha.
How have Aston Villa started in the Champions League?
Two wins from two, with nine goals scored and two conceded, including 6-0 against Fenerbahçe.
Is there a SureTips pick for Aston Villa vs Viking?
No. The home win and over 2.5 goals are priced below our 1.30 minimum, and over 3.5 goals is under 55%.
What is the best bet for Aston Villa vs Viking?
The market favourite is Over 3.5 goals at odds of 1.81, rated 56% by the market. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 74% for this match.
When does Aston Villa vs Viking kick off?
Wed 21 Oct, 19:00 UTC.