AEK Athens FC

Win probability

Markets

Key factors

• ▼
  Ferland Mendy out

  Mendy is out with a hip injury.

  REA
• ▼
  Tchouaméni doubtful

  Tchouaméni, also absent from the Athens trip, trained alone on Thursday two days before Mestalla, while Güler was back in normal group work.

  REA
• ▼
  João Mario out

  João Mario listed as out (illness) by UEFA ahead of the 4 Nov Champions League match.

  AEK
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  Strakosha doubtful

  Strakosha listed as doubtful (wrist) by UEFA ahead of the 4 Nov Champions League match.

  AEK
• ▼
  Rota doubtful

  Rota listed as doubtful (illness) by UEFA ahead of the 4 Nov Champions League match.

  AEK
• ▼
  Federico Valverde out

  Valverde left the Clasico with discomfort in his right leg and trained alone all week. Scans ruled out an injury, but he was left out of the squad for Racing as a precaution.

  REA

Preview

Real Madrid arrive in Athens with three wins from three in the Champions League and nine points, while AEK sit on three points after three games. Mourinho's side also won 3-0 at Racing Santander on Sunday, with Mbappé, Bellingham and Diomande scoring before half-time. AEK come in on the back of a 2-0 derby defeat to Panathinaikos, their first league loss in 31 games. Illness has hit Marko Nikolić's squad: João Mário is in hospital with pneumonia and will miss the game, while Lazaros Rota and Abubakar Koita were both unwell in the derby and need checking. Goalkeeper Thomas Strakosha is back in full training after his wrist injury, but Alberto Brignoli may keep his place. For Madrid, Federico Valverde trained normally on Monday after missing Racing, leaving Rodrygo and Raúl Asencio as the only reported absences. The forecast in Athens is dry and calm. We make Real Madrid clear favourites at 77%, and the goals markets point to an open game: we rate over 2.5 goals at 72%.