Win probability
52%Torino
27%Draw
20%Lecce
Serie A · Italy
Market view: probabilities from 24 bookmakers' odds, margin removed. Researched picks publish up to 48 hours before kickoff, only when our checks clear one. How we make predictions.
Markets
Over 2.5 goals50%
Under 2.5 goals50%
Both teams score (GG)63%
Double chance 1X79%
Key factors
- ▼Starter out · TorinoTOR
Mandragora remains injured, with Torino hoping to have him back during the international break.
- ▼Starter out · LecceLEC
Monteiro has a first-degree left calf injury and is expected back in mid-December.
- ▲Belghali is back in group training after a knee contusion and is in the predicted XI.TOR
Belghali is back in group training after a knee contusion and is in the predicted XI.
- ▼Mandragora doubtfulTOR
Mandragora is aiming for a call-up against Lecce after a thigh flexor lesion, with great caution.
- ▲Coulibaly has done part of the sessions with the group and could start at once.LEC
Coulibaly has done part of the sessions with the group and could start at once.
- ▲Coulibaly is recovering from his first-degree hamstring tear and could be back in the squad for Torino.LEC
Coulibaly is recovering from his first-degree hamstring tear and could be back in the squad for Torino.
- ▼Belghali doubtfulTOR
Doubtful for Lecce after a knee knock taken at Frosinone forced him off.
- ▼Rodriguez outTOR
Rodriguez listed as unavailable for Serie A matchday 9 by TMW (28 Oct); no reason given.
Preview
Torino have lost two in a row, at home to Como and 2-0 at Frosinone, scoring once and conceding five. Coach Abate has trained them without a day off since. The flanks are the worry: Fortini will not be back until after the break, Cacciamani is a strong doubt with a shoulder problem, and Belghali is doubtful with a knee knock. Mandragora and Rodriguez are hoped to return during the break, so we expect neither here. Lecce are in worse shape on form, with one win in their last five and a 2-1 home defeat to Genoa last time out. They have conceded 2.4 a game at home and 1.8 away. Monteiro has joined Ilic and Pierotti on the sidelines, and Geubbels and Coulibaly worked individually this week. The last five meetings were tight: seven goals, with only one going over 2.5. We put Torino at 52%. That is the likeliest result but short of our 55% floor, so no main pick.
Torino are the likelier winners at 52%, but injuries on both sides keep it under our 55% line. No main pick.
Head to head
- 2026-02-01Torino 1–0 LecceSerie A
- 2025-11-30Lecce 2–1 TorinoSerie A
- 2025-05-18Lecce 1–0 TorinoSerie A
- 2024-09-15Torino 0–0 LecceSerie A
- 2024-02-16Torino 2–0 LecceSerie A
FAQ
Who is favourite in Torino v Lecce?
Torino, at about 52% on our numbers.
Do these teams score much against each other?
Not lately: seven goals in the last five meetings, and only one went over 2.5.
What is the best bet for Torino vs Lecce?
The market favourite is Torino to win at odds of 1.87, rated 52% by the market. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 50% for this match.
When does Torino vs Lecce kick off?
Sat 07 Nov, 14:00 UTC.