Win probability
37%Leeds
28%Draw
35%Tottenham
Premier League · England
Market view: probabilities from 25 bookmakers' odds, margin removed. Researched picks publish up to 48 hours before kickoff, only when our checks clear one. How we make predictions.
Markets
Over 2.5 goals49%
Under 2.5 goals51%
Both teams score (GG)35%
Double chance 1X65%
Key factors
- ▲Tosin rejoined the group on Thursday and is available for Leeds after missing Chelsea and Palace.TOT
Tosin rejoined the group on Thursday and is available for Leeds after missing Chelsea and Palace.
- ▲Bentancur is available for Leeds after a three-match ban.TOT
Bentancur is available for Leeds after a three-match ban.
- ▼De Zerbi said the 18-year-old is ready to start and that he had considered picking him before the Chelsea game.TOT
De Zerbi said the 18-year-old is ready to start and that he had considered picking him before the Chelsea game.
- ▼Noah Okafor doubtfulLEE
Okafor missed the last game with adductor problems and has only worked individually this week, so he is uncertain for Tottenham.
- ▲Rodon is back in full team training after his long absence and is in contention for the matchday squad against Tottenham.LEE
Rodon is back in full team training after his long absence and is in contention for the matchday squad against Tottenham.
- ▼Savio doubtfulTOT
Savio is close to being involved again after his muscle problem, but ESPN says he may not be rushed back before the international break.
Preview
Tottenham arrive on a run of three straight league wins, most recently a 2-0 home win over ten-man Crystal Palace. Leeds are five league games without a win after losing 2-0 at Bournemouth, though Elland Road has held up well: they concede 0.75 a game at home. De Zerbi said Tosin Adarabioyo and Lucas Bergvall may be available here but probably not from the start, while Mudryk and Savio stay out until after the international break. On the Leeds side, Farke called Anton Stach a question mark with a foot problem before Bournemouth. The last five meetings produced 21 goals, with over 2.5 landing in four of them, and Spurs are unbeaten across those five with four wins. The market still has this almost level: 36.5% Leeds, 28.4% draw, 35.1% Spurs. Goals are a coin flip too, with over 2.5 at 49.5%. Nothing clears our 55% line, so we make no main pick and leave the numbers as the market has them.
A near pick'em: Leeds 36.5%, Spurs 35.1%. Nothing reaches 55%, so there is no main pick.
Head to head
- 2026-05-11Tottenham 1–1 LeedsPremier League
- 2025-10-04Leeds 1–2 TottenhamPremier League
- 2023-05-28Leeds 1–4 TottenhamPremier League
- 2022-11-12Tottenham 4–3 LeedsPremier League
- 2022-02-26Leeds 0–4 TottenhamPremier League
FAQ
Who is more likely to win Leeds v Tottenham?
The market has it close: Leeds 36.5%, draw 28.4%, Tottenham 35.1%.
What is the recent head-to-head?
Tottenham won four of the last five meetings and drew the other. Those five games had 21 goals.
What is the best bet for Leeds vs Tottenham?
The market favourite is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.95, rated 51% by the market. No bet is ever sure.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
We put the chance of three or more goals at 49% for this match.
When does Leeds vs Tottenham kick off?
Sat 07 Nov, 12:30 UTC.