Borussia Dortmund

Win probability

Markets

Key factors

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  Key player out · Borussia Dortmund

  Star striker Serhou Guirassy left the win over Betis early and is a doubt for Saturday; Fábio Silva is the natural replacement. Half weight as a doubt.

  DOR
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  Fixture congestion · Borussia Dortmund

  Third match in eight days after Bayern on 31 October and Betis on 4 November; the club's own report calls the recent workload excessive.

  DOR
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  Key attacker out · Borussia Dortmund

  Guirassy is a doubt after going off against Betis, so half weight on the key attacker factor.

  DOR
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  The Bundesliga's matchday 9 overview lists no official absentees for Elversberg.

  The Bundesliga's matchday 9 overview lists no official absentees for Elversberg.

  ELV
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  Guirassy out

  Guirassy misses Elversberg with a strain after going off in the Champions League win over Betis; Fábio Silva is the natural replacement.

  DOR
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  Serhou Guirassy doubtful

  Guirassy went off in the first half of the 2-1 win over Betis feeling his thigh; Kovac expects nothing worse than a strain but will not take risks, and Fábio Silva is the natural replacement against Elversberg.

  DOR
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  After his winner off the bench against Betis, Kovac unusually promised the 18-year-old a start in Saturday's league game with Elversberg.

  After his winner off the bench against Betis, Kovac unusually promised the 18-year-old a start in Saturday's league game with Elversberg.

  DOR
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  Gyamerah out

  Gyamerah listed absent (muscular problems) in the Bundesliga's matchday 8 personnel list.

  ELV

Preview

Dortmund are second and unbeaten in the league, with five wins and three draws from eight, and they concede just 0.5 a game at home. The problem is the price, and the week they have had. They drew 2-2 at Bayern on Saturday, then beat Betis 2-1 on Wednesday, and this is their third match in eight days. Serhou Guirassy went off injured against Betis and is a doubt. Fábio Silva, who scored in both of those games, is the natural replacement. Elversberg come in seventh on 13 points after beating Mainz 4-1 at home, and they score freely at 3.0 a game at home, though only 1.0 away and they concede 2.0 a game on the road. Vincent Wagner says some players with recent knocks are still unresolved, and he hopes to have the full squad back after the international break. We have no earlier meetings in our data. We rate Dortmund at 69.3%, but odds of 1.34 leave no value, so there is no main pick.