Serie A · ItalySat 10 Oct, 18:45 UTC

Napoli

DWLLW

65%

confidence

Frosinone

WDWWL

Sure pickNapoli to win

Odds1.50

Win probability

65%Napoli

22%Draw

13%Frosinone

Markets

Over 2.5 goals61%

Over 3.5 goals39%

Under 2.5 goals39%

Both teams score (GG)43%

Double chance 1X87%

Key factors

▼
Key player out · Frosinone
Frosinone forward Antonio Raimondo, scorer of four goals in their first five games, misses the Napoli game with an Achilles tendon problem and is out for about a month.
FRO
▼
Starter out · Napoli
Left-sided defender Mathias Olivera picked up a muscle strain with Uruguay and misses the Frosinone game (at least two weeks out).
NAP
▼
Starter out · Napoli
Midfielder Antonio Vergara, one of Napoli's standout players this season, strained his calf with Italy and is out for about a month.
NAP
▼
Starter out · Napoli
Midfielder Frank Anguissa is a strong doubt with a low-grade adductor strain (doubtful, half weight).
NAP
●
Key attacker out · Frosinone
Frosinone are without forward Raimondo (four goals in five games, Achilles) and striker Birligea (muscle strain).
FRO
▼
A. Raimondo doubtful
A. Raimondo: Health problems
FRO
▼
F. Grillitsch out
F. Grillitsch: Thigh Injury
FRO
▼
D. Birligea out
D. Birligea: Muscle Injury
FRO

Preview

Napoli sit ninth with 7 points from 5 games. Frosinone are sixth with 10. Both sides lost players over the international break. Napoli are without left-sided defender Mathias Olivera, who strained a muscle with Uruguay, and midfielder Antonio Vergara, who strained his calf with Italy and faces about a month out. Frank Anguissa is a strong doubt with a minor adductor strain. On the plus side, Scott McTominay has been cleared to return to group training after his heart procedure. Frosinone's losses are up front. Antonio Raimondo, who scored four goals in their first five games, is out with an Achilles problem, and striker Daniel Birligea is sidelined with a muscle strain. Frosinone have conceded just 0.5 goals per game away, so we do not expect a rout. In the last five meetings Napoli won three, drew one and lost one. We rate a Napoli win at about 65%.

Our verdict

Frosinone travel without their two main forwards, and Napoli get McTominay back in contention. We back the home win at 1.50.

Head to head

2024-04-14Napoli 2–2 FrosinoneSerie A
2023-12-19Napoli 0–4 FrosinoneCoppa Italia
2023-08-19Frosinone 1–3 NapoliSerie A
2019-04-28Frosinone 0–2 NapoliSerie A
2018-12-08Napoli 4–0 FrosinoneSerie A

FAQ

What is the best bet for Napoli vs Frosinone?

Our top pick is Napoli to win at odds of 1.50, rated 65% confidence.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The chance of three or more goals is 61% for this match.

When does Napoli vs Frosinone kick off?

Sat 10 Oct, 18:45 UTC.