Win probability
22%Lecce
28%Draw
50%Bologna
Serie A · Italy
Lecce
LWLLW
VS
54%
market chance
Bologna
DLDLL
Market favouriteUnder 2.5 goals
Odds1.81Market view: probabilities from 21 bookmakers' odds, margin removed. Researched picks publish up to 48 hours before kickoff, only when our checks clear one.
Markets
Over 2.5 goals46%
Under 2.5 goals54%
Double chance X278%
Key factors
- ▼Medon Berisha doubtfulLEC
Berisha is carrying muscle overload and is listed as doubtful for the home game against Bologna.
- ▼Tiago Gabriel doubtfulLEC
Tiago Gabriel has a neck problem but is expected to recover in time for the Bologna match.
- ▼Mikkel Odgaard outBOL
Odgaard has a right hamstring (flexor) lesion and is not expected back before late October, so he misses the Lecce trip.
- ▼Emil Holm outBOL
Holm has a right biceps femoris injury with a return projected for February-March 2027.
- ▼Artem Dovbyk doubtfulBOL
Dovbyk picked up a slight hamstring strain but is considered recoverable for the Lecce game.
- ▼Federico Bernardeschi doubtfulBOL
Bernardeschi has a minor muscle issue that is not considered worrying; he should be available against Lecce.
Head to head
- 2026-04-12Bologna 2–0 LecceSerie A
- 2025-09-28Lecce 2–2 BolognaSerie A
- 2025-02-09Lecce 0–0 BolognaSerie A
- 2024-11-02Bologna 1–0 LecceSerie A
- 2024-02-11Bologna 4–0 LecceSerie A
FAQ
What is the best bet for Lecce vs Bologna?
The market favourite is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.81, rated 54% by the market.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The chance of three or more goals is 46% for this match.
When does Lecce vs Bologna kick off?
Sun 11 Oct, 13:00 UTC.