Serie A · ItalySat 10 Oct, 16:00 UTC

Inter

DWWWW

70%

market chance

Parma

WLDLL

Market favouriteOver 2.5 goals

Odds1.35

Market view: probabilities from 21 bookmakers' odds, margin removed. Researched picks publish up to 48 hours before kickoff, only when our checks clear one.

Win probability

78%Inter

13%Draw

9%Parma

Markets

Over 2.5 goals69%

Over 3.5 goals50%

Under 2.5 goals31%

Both teams score (GG)66%

Double chance 1X91%

Key factors

▼
Rotation expected · Inter
Corriere dello Sport reports Chivu is planning almost two different line-ups for Parma and Tuesday's Champions League home game with Club Brugge.
INT
▲
New manager · Parma
Alberto Gilardino replaced Carlos Cuesta at Parma during the international break; this is his first game in charge.
PAR
●
Key attacker out · Inter
Captain and main striker Lautaro Martinez, back late from Argentina duty, is expected to start on the bench (half weight until confirmed).
INT
▼
H. Calhanoglu doubtful
H. Calhanoglu: Muscle Injury
INT
▼
J. Stones doubtful
J. Stones: Injury
INT
▼
P. Almqvist out
P. Almqvist: Calf Injury
PAR
▼
H. Nicolussi Caviglia out
H. Nicolussi Caviglia: Groin Injury
PAR
▼
A. Bernabe doubtful
A. Bernabe: Thigh Injury
PAR

Preview

Inter come into this one second in the table with 13 points, unbeaten after four wins and a draw. Parma are 15th with 4 points and a new man in the dugout: Alberto Gilardino took over from Carlos Cuesta during the break, and this is his first game. Inter's record against Parma is strong, with four wins and a draw in the last five meetings. There are two reasons to temper expectations slightly. Inter host Club Brugge in the Champions League on Tuesday, and Cristian Chivu is expected to rotate heavily. Captain Lautaro Martinez, back late from Argentina, is likely to start on the bench, with Ange-Yoan Bonny in line for his first start. John Stones is also likely to miss out with a hamstring problem. On the plus side, Hakan Calhanoglu is back in full training after his adductor strain. Parma are without winger Pontus Almqvist (calf) and midfielder Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (pubalgia). We still rate an Inter win at about 78%, but at 1.17 the price is too short for us, and the goals market offers no value either.

Our verdict

Inter should win, even with Lautaro likely rested, but the odds are too short to publish a pick. No pick on this match.

Head to head

2026-05-03Inter 2–0 ParmaSerie A
2026-01-07Parma 0–2 InterSerie A
2025-04-05Parma 2–2 InterSerie A
2024-12-06Inter 3–1 ParmaSerie A
2023-01-10Inter 2–1 ParmaCoppa Italia

FAQ

What is the best bet for Inter vs Parma?

The market favourite is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.35, rated 70% by the market.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The chance of three or more goals is 69% for this match.

When does Inter vs Parma kick off?

Sat 10 Oct, 16:00 UTC.