Win probability
53%Manchester United
25%Draw
22%Tottenham
Premier League · England
Manchester United
DLDWL
VS
59%
confidence
Tottenham
LDDLL
Sure pickUnder 3.5 goals
Odds1.71Markets
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Under 2.5 goals38%
Both teams score (GG)44%
Double chance 1X78%
Key factors
- ▼Key player out · Manchester UnitedMUN
Main striker Benjamin Sesko pulled out of Slovenia duty with a flare-up of his shin injury and is a doubt (half weight).
- ▼Starter out · Manchester UnitedMUN
Patrick Dorgu appeared to hurt his hamstring with Denmark and is being assessed at Carrington (doubtful, half weight).
- ▼Starter out · TottenhamTOT
Right-back Pedro Porro's hamstring injury means Saturday looks likely to come too soon for him; known since September, so half weight.
- ●Key attacker out · Manchester UnitedMUN
United's main striker Benjamin Sesko is a doubt with a recurrence of his shin injury (half weight).
- ▼W. Odobert outTOT
W. Odobert: Knee Injury
- ▼Richarlison outTOT
Richarlison: Inactive
- ▼X. Simons outTOT
X. Simons: Knee Injury
- ▼D. Kulusevski doubtfulTOT
D. Kulusevski: Knee Injury
Preview
Manchester United have had an uneven start, 12th with 5 points, but Tottenham are in worse shape: bottom of the table on 2 points, without a win in five, and yet to score away from home. The international break was not kind to United. Striker Benjamin Sesko pulled out of Slovenia duty with a recurrence of his shin problem and is a doubt. Patrick Dorgu appeared to hurt his hamstring with Denmark, and Noussair Mazraoui was forced off on international duty. Marcus Rashford and Kobbie Mainoo also withdrew from England, though neither problem is thought to be serious. Carlos Baleba is expected to feature after his ankle injury. United visit Atletico Madrid in the Champions League on Tuesday. Spurs will probably be without right-back Pedro Porro, but Micky van de Ven should be available after a hand injury. Spurs have won three of the last five meetings, and only two of those games went over 2.5 goals. With United's attack weakened and Spurs struggling to score, we expect a tight game and rate under 3.5 goals at about 59%.
Sesko is doubtful and Spurs have not scored away all season. We back under 3.5 goals at 1.71.
Head to head
- 2026-02-07Manchester United 2–0 TottenhamPremier League
- 2025-11-08Tottenham 2–2 Manchester UnitedPremier League
- 2025-05-21Tottenham 1–0 Manchester UnitedUEFA Europa League
- 2025-02-16Tottenham 1–0 Manchester UnitedPremier League
- 2024-12-19Tottenham 4–3 Manchester UnitedLeague Cup
FAQ
What is the best bet for Manchester United vs Tottenham?
Our top pick is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.71, rated 59% confidence.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The chance of three or more goals is 62% for this match.
When does Manchester United vs Tottenham kick off?
Sat 10 Oct, 16:30 UTC.