SureTips.ai
Premier League · England
Liverpool crest

Liverpool

WDWDD
VS
60%
market chance
Manchester City crest

Manchester City

WWWWW
Market favouriteUnder 3.5 goals
Odds1.63

Market view: probabilities from 22 bookmakers' odds, margin removed. Researched picks publish up to 48 hours before kickoff, only when our checks clear one.

Win probability

36%Liverpool
26%Draw
38%Manchester City

Markets

Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Under 2.5 goals40%
Double chance X264%

Key factors

  • ▼
    City were found guilty in the long-running Premier League financial rules case and are appealing; the verdict hangs over their trip to Anfield.

    City were found guilty in the long-running Premier League financial rules case and are appealing; the verdict hangs over their trip to Anfield.

    MCI
  • ▼
    Nico O'Reilly doubtful

    O'Reilly withdrew from the England squad after a knock in training, having played only the opening Nations League match.

    MCI
  • ▼
    Antonio Semenyo doubtful

    Semenyo left his international camp early to manage a leg injury, and Maresca is expected to update on his fitness on Friday.

    MCI
  • ▼
    Phil Foden suspended

    Foden misses the Liverpool game as the last match of his three-game ban for a red card in the Manchester derby.

    MCI
  • ▼
    Erling Haaland doubtful

    Haaland asked to come off after about an hour for Norway against Portugal; Norway's coach put it down to fatigue, not injury, but City will check him before Anfield.

    MCI
  • ▼
    Hugo Ekitike out

    Ekitike is still a long-term absentee, which leaves Liverpool short of striker options.

    LIV

Head to head

  • 2026-04-04Manchester City 4–0 LiverpoolFA Cup
  • 2026-02-08Liverpool 1–2 Manchester CityPremier League
  • 2025-11-09Manchester City 3–0 LiverpoolPremier League
  • 2025-02-23Manchester City 0–2 LiverpoolPremier League
  • 2024-12-01Liverpool 2–0 Manchester CityPremier League

FAQ

What is the best bet for Liverpool vs Manchester City?

The market favourite is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.63, rated 60% by the market.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The chance of three or more goals is 60% for this match.

When does Liverpool vs Manchester City kick off?

Sun 11 Oct, 15:30 UTC.