Chelsea

Win probability

Markets

Key factors

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  Key player out · Bournemouth

  Midfielder Alex Scott withdrew from the England squad with a tendon injury and could miss several weeks; Sky lists Chelsea away among the games he will miss, and Tuchel called him a key player for Bournemouth. Fresh news, full weight.

  BOU
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  Key player out · Chelsea

  Cole Palmer, with six goal involvements in seven games before the break, pulled out of the England squad; Chelsea told England he plays with discomfort and pain. Doubtful, so half weight.

  CHE
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  Key player out · Chelsea

  Joao Pedro missed the Brentford game with a knee problem; Xabi Alonso hoped to have him back for Bournemouth. Return not confirmed, so doubtful, half weight.

  CHE
• ●
  Key attacker out · Chelsea

  Sky Sports reports Chelsea's top scorer Joao Pedro is set to be out again. Counted at half weight because Alonso had hoped to have him back.

  CHE
• ●
  Key attacker out · Chelsea

  Cole Palmer withdrew from the England squad with what is believed to be a minor muscle injury; doubtful, half weight.

  CHE
• ▼
  M. Palestra doubtful

  M. Palestra: Thigh Injury

  CHE
• ▼
  J. Araujo out

  J. Araujo: Thigh Injury

  BOU
• ▼
  E. J. Kroupi out

  E. J. Kroupi: Foot Injury

  BOU

Preview

Chelsea are 10th with 7 points from five games and lost 3-0 at Brentford in their last match before the break. Bournemouth are 17th with 3 points and have not won a league game yet. The visitors lose midfielder Alex Scott, who withdrew from the England squad with a tendon injury and could miss several weeks. Chelsea have two attacking doubts. Top scorer Joao Pedro missed the Brentford game with a knee problem; Xabi Alonso hoped to have him back, but Sky Sports reports he is set to be out again. Cole Palmer pulled out of the England squad with what is believed to be a minor muscle injury. Chelsea's home games have been open, with 3 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game. The last five meetings produced 12 goals: Chelsea won two, three were draws, and three of the five finished under 3.5 goals. With Joao Pedro and Palmer both in doubt, we rate under 3.5 goals at 59%, a little above the market's 57%. A Chelsea win rates about 54.5% on our numbers, just below our 55% threshold.

Head to head

• 2025-12-30Chelsea 2–2 BournemouthPremier League
• 2025-12-06Bournemouth 0–0 ChelseaPremier League
• 2025-01-14Chelsea 2–2 BournemouthPremier League
• 2024-09-14Bournemouth 0–1 ChelseaPremier League
• 2024-05-19Chelsea 2–1 BournemouthPremier League