SureTips.ai
La Liga · Spain
Malaga crest

Malaga

LLDDL
VS
56%
confidence
Espanyol crest

Espanyol

LLWDL
Sure pickUnder 2.5 goals
Odds1.84

Win probability

35%Malaga
32%Draw
33%Espanyol

Markets

Over 2.5 goals44%
Under 2.5 goals56%
Both teams score (GG)44%
Double chance 1X67%

Key factors

  • ▼
    Key player out · Espanyol

    Striker Kike García had surgery on the biceps femoris tendon in his right leg in early August after getting hurt in a pre-season friendly; a long-known absence, so counted at half weight.

    ESP
  • ▼
    Starter out · Espanyol

    Winger Jofre Carreras is listed as doubtful for this round (half weight until confirmed).

    ESP
  • ▼
    Starter out · Malaga

    Midfielder Jens Cajuste is listed as doubtful for Málaga this round (half weight until confirmed).

    MAL
  • ●
    Key attacker out · Espanyol

    Kike García is listed among Espanyol's injured for this round, removing their main penalty-box threat (half weight: long-term absence).

    ESP
  • ▼
    K. Garcia out

    K. Garcia: Hamstring Injury

    ESP
  • ▼
    Jofre doubtful

    Jofre: Groin Injury

    ESP
  • ▼
    J. Puado doubtful

    J. Puado: Knee Injury

    ESP
  • ▼
    D. Murillo doubtful

    D. Murillo: Knee Injury

    MAL

Preview

Málaga are back in La Liga after eight years away but are still waiting for their first win of the season: bottom of the table with three points from seven games and without a victory since mid-August. Goals have been the problem, with just 0.67 per home match so far. Espanyol sit 15th and are without striker Kike García, who had surgery on a tendon in his right leg in early August after getting hurt in a pre-season friendly. Winger Jofre Carreras is listed as doubtful, and midfielder Jens Cajuste is a doubt for the hosts. The market sees the result as close to a coin-flip, and nothing in the team news changes that much. Where it does point is goals: a home side that struggles to score and a visiting attack missing its main finisher make a tight, low-scoring game the likeliest outcome.

Our verdict

Two teams short on goals. Under 2.5 is the strongest angle; the result itself is too close to call.

Head to head

  • 2021-05-02Espanyol 3–0 MalagaSegunda División
  • 2020-11-02Malaga 0–3 EspanyolSegunda División
  • 2020-09-02Espanyol 3–0 MalagaFriendlies Clubs
  • 2018-05-13Espanyol 4–1 MalagaLa Liga

FAQ

What is the best bet for Malaga vs Espanyol?

Our top pick is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.84, rated 56% confidence.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The chance of three or more goals is 44% for this match.

When does Malaga vs Espanyol kick off?

Fri 09 Oct, 19:00 UTC.