La Liga · SpainSat 10 Oct, 16:30 UTC

Barcelona

WWWWW

56%

market chance

Getafe

WLDDL

Market favouriteOver 3.5 goals

Odds1.73

Market view: probabilities from 18 bookmakers' odds, margin removed. Researched picks publish up to 48 hours before kickoff, only when our checks clear one.

Win probability

87%Barcelona

8%Draw

5%Getafe

Markets

Over 2.5 goals75%

Over 3.5 goals55%

Under 2.5 goals25%

Both teams score (GG)41%

Double chance 1X95%

Key factors

▼
Key player out · Barcelona
Raphinha, Barcelona's No. 9 with 14 goals in 8 games, came back from Brazil duty with thigh edema and Flick will decide on him late. Doubtful, so half weight.
BAR
●
Key attacker out · Barcelona
Main scorer Raphinha (14 goals in 8 games) is doubtful with thigh edema from Brazil duty; half weight.
BAR
▼
R. Bardghji out
R. Bardghji: Knee Injury
BAR
▼
A. Christensen out
A. Christensen: Muscle Injury
BAR
▼
F. de Jong out
F. de Jong: Knee Injury
BAR
▼
J. Garcia doubtful
J. Garcia: Knee Injury
BAR
▼
Raphinha doubtful
Raphinha: Muscle Injury
BAR
▼
Juanmi out
Juanmi: Knee Injury
GET

Preview

Barcelona lead La Liga with 21 points from 7 games, winning all seven, and have averaged 4.67 goals per home match. Getafe sit 11th with 8 points and have yet to score in their away league games this season. The last five meetings went Barcelona's way four times, with one draw, and Getafe scored only once across those games. Only one of the five produced more than 3.5 goals. The main question is Raphinha. He has 14 goals in 8 games this season, but he came back from Brazil duty with edema in his thigh. Tests showed it was not an injury, and Hansi Flick will decide on him late. Christensen and Bardghji are listed as out, while Frenkie de Jong completed part of Wednesday's session with the group. For Getafe, forward Martin Satriano left the Uruguay camp with knee inflammation and is listed as doubtful. We rate a Barcelona win at about 87%, but the prices are too short for a pick.

Our verdict

Barcelona should keep their perfect start going, but the home win and over 2.5 goals are priced below our 1.30 minimum. No pick on this match.

Head to head

2026-04-25Getafe 0–2 BarcelonaLa Liga
2025-09-21Barcelona 3–0 GetafeLa Liga
2025-01-18Getafe 1–1 BarcelonaLa Liga
2024-09-25Barcelona 1–0 GetafeLa Liga
2024-02-24Barcelona 4–0 GetafeLa Liga

FAQ

What is the best bet for Barcelona vs Getafe?

The market favourite is Over 3.5 goals at odds of 1.73, rated 56% by the market.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The chance of three or more goals is 75% for this match.

When does Barcelona vs Getafe kick off?

Sat 10 Oct, 16:30 UTC.