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Champions League · Europe
Atletico Madrid crest

Atletico Madrid

L
VS
63%
market chance
Manchester United crest

Manchester United

W
Market favouriteOver 2.5 goals
Odds1.50

Market view: probabilities from 18 bookmakers' odds, margin removed. Researched picks publish up to 48 hours before kickoff, only when our checks clear one.

Win probability

45%Atletico Madrid
25%Draw
30%Manchester United

Markets

Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals44%
Under 2.5 goals37%
Double chance 1X70%

Key factors

  • ▼
    A. Sorloth doubtful

    A. Sorloth: Muscle Injury

    ATM
  • ▲
    Summer signing Baleba, back from an ankle injury, played his first United minutes in a closed-doors friendly and is expected to be involved against Tottenham.

    Summer signing Baleba, back from an ankle injury, played his first United minutes in a closed-doors friendly and is expected to be involved against Tottenham.

    MUN
  • ▼
    Noussair Mazraoui doubtful

    Mazraoui ended international duty early after being forced off for Morocco against Lesotho and is a doubt for the Spurs match.

    MUN
  • ▼
    Patrick Dorgu doubtful

    Dorgu appeared to hurt his hamstring on Denmark duty against Wales and is being assessed at Carrington; a doubt for the weekend.

    MUN
  • ▼
    Marcus Rashford doubtful

    Rashford withdrew from the England squad with an undisclosed issue; it is not thought to be serious and he could feature against Spurs.

    MUN
  • ▼
    Benjamin Sesko doubtful

    Sesko pulled out of Slovenia duty with a flare-up of his shin problem and missed the Lausanne friendly, leaving him a doubt for the Tottenham game.

    MUN

Head to head

  • 2026-08-01Manchester United 2–1 Atletico MadridFriendlies Clubs
  • 2022-07-30Atletico Madrid 1–0 Manchester UnitedFriendlies Clubs
  • 2022-07-30Atletico Madrid 1–0 Manchester UnitedFriendlies Clubs
  • 2022-03-15Manchester United 0–1 Atletico MadridUEFA Champions League
  • 2022-02-23Atletico Madrid 1–1 Manchester UnitedUEFA Champions League

FAQ

What is the best bet for Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United?

The market favourite is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.50, rated 63% by the market.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The chance of three or more goals is 63% for this match.

When does Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United kick off?

Tue 13 Oct, 19:00 UTC.