Bundesliga · GermanySat 10 Oct, 16:30 UTC

RB Leipzig

LWLW

62%

market chance

Eintracht Frankfurt

DWLD

Market favouriteRB Leipzig to win

Odds1.61

Market view: probabilities from 20 bookmakers' odds, margin removed. Researched picks publish up to 48 hours before kickoff, only when our checks clear one.

Win probability

58%RB Leipzig

21%Draw

21%Eintracht Frankfurt

Markets

Over 2.5 goals73%

Over 3.5 goals54%

Under 2.5 goals27%

Both teams score (GG)65%

Double chance 1X79%

Key factors

▼
Key player out · RB Leipzig
Christoph Baumgartner, Leipzig's top scorer last season, is not an option for Frankfurt after a thigh injury; he has been out since World Cup preparation, so half weight.
LEI
▼
Starter out · RB Leipzig
Brajan Gruda (abdominal muscle strain) is only partly back in team training and is a doubt for Saturday; doubt counts at half weight.
LEI
▼
R. Reitz doubtful
R. Reitz: Muscle Injury
LEI
▼
J. Maluze doubtful
J. Maluze: Thigh Injury
EIN
▼
J. Ngankam doubtful
J. Ngankam: Hamstring Injury
EIN
▼
B. Gruda doubtful
B. Gruda: Muscle Injury
LEI
▼
C. Baumgartner doubtful
C. Baumgartner: Thigh Injury
LEI
▼
A. Ouedraogo out
A. Ouedraogo: Shoulder Injury
LEI

Preview

Leipzig against Frankfurt has been a high-scoring fixture. All of the last five meetings had at least three goals, 20 in total, and Leipzig won four of them, including a 6-0 home win in December 2025. Leipzig are ninth with 6 points. At home they have scored 4 goals per game and conceded none, but away they have conceded 2.5 per game. Frankfurt are tenth with 5 points; on the road they score 3 per game and concede 2. Leipzig have injury problems. Christoph Baumgartner, their top scorer last season, is not an option yet, Assan Ouedraogo (shoulder surgery) and Guiu (muscle injury) are out, and Brajan Gruda and Rocco Reitz are doubts. Willi Orban, Maarten Vandevoordt and Ezechiel Banzuzi only returned from international duty on Wednesday. For Frankfurt, Can Uzun trained normally and is fit, while Jeremiaha Maluze (illness) and Malik Pimpong are out. We rate the home win at about 58%, which is not enough at odds of 1.61. Over 2.5 goals is priced at only 1.29, below our minimum.

Our verdict

Leipzig are favourites but are missing several players, and we rate the home win at 58%. At 1.61 that is no value, so there is no main pick on this match.

Head to head

2026-04-18Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 RB LeipzigBundesliga
2025-12-06RB Leipzig 6–0 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
2025-04-26Eintracht Frankfurt 4–0 RB LeipzigBundesliga
2024-12-15RB Leipzig 2–1 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
2024-12-04RB Leipzig 3–0 Eintracht FrankfurtDFB Pokal

FAQ

What is the best bet for RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

The market favourite is RB Leipzig to win at odds of 1.61, rated 62% by the market.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The chance of three or more goals is 73% for this match.

When does RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt kick off?

Sat 10 Oct, 16:30 UTC.