FSV Mainz 05

Win probability

Markets

Key factors

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  Backup goalkeeper · FSV Mainz 05

  First-choice keeper Robin Zentner (hand injury) is still limited to individual training and will miss the game, so a backup starts in goal. He has been out since mid-September (first reported 18 Sep 2026), so half weight.

  MAI
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  Key defender out · FSV Mainz 05

  First-choice keeper Robin Zentner (hand injury) is still limited to individual training and will miss the game, so a backup starts in goal. He has been out since mid-September (first reported 18 Sep 2026), so half weight.

  MAI
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  D. Kohr out

  D. Kohr: Foot Injury

  MAI
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  K. Eichhorn doubtful

  K. Eichhorn: Illness

  BAY
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  G. Doue out

  G. Doue: Calf Injury

  BAY
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  M. Culbreath out

  M. Culbreath: Foot Injury

  BAY
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  S. Widmer doubtful

  S. Widmer: Knee Injury

  MAI
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  O. Ruoppi doubtful

  O. Ruoppi: Knee Injury

  MAI

Preview

Mainz and Leverkusen both have 7 points after four games, with Mainz sixth and Leverkusen fifth. Recent meetings have brought goals: the last five produced 17, including a 4-3 Leverkusen win in Mainz in October 2025. Leverkusen are unbeaten in those five games, with three wins and two draws. Mainz are without first-choice keeper Robin Zentner, who has a hand injury and is only training on his own, so Alexander Schwolow is expected in goal. Dominik Kohr and Silas are also out. Leverkusen miss Guela Doue (calf), Montrell Culbreath (foot) and Kennet Eichhorn. So far this season Leverkusen have scored 3 goals per home game and 2 per away game, but they have conceded 2.5 per game on the road. With a backup keeper in the Mainz goal and a Leverkusen side that scores and concedes away, we expect an open game. We rate over 2.5 goals at about 66%.

Head to head

• 2026-02-28Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
• 2025-10-18FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
• 2025-05-17FSV Mainz 05 2–2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
• 2025-01-14Bayer Leverkusen 1–0 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
• 2024-02-23Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga