Bundesliga · GermanySat 10 Oct, 13:30 UTC

FC Augsburg

LDWW

83%

market chance

Bayern München

WWDW

Market favouriteOver 2.5 goals

Odds1.15

Market view: probabilities from 20 bookmakers' odds, margin removed. Researched picks publish up to 48 hours before kickoff, only when our checks clear one.

Win probability

6%FC Augsburg

13%Draw

81%Bayern München

Markets

Over 2.5 goals84%

Under 2.5 goals16%

Both teams score (GG)52%

Double chance X294%

Key factors

▼
Key player out · FC Augsburg
First-choice centre-back Noahkai Banks damaged the lateral collateral ligament in his right knee with Germany's under-21s and is out for the foreseeable future.
AUG
▼
Key player out · Bayern München
Jamal Musiala is out with a muscle-fibre tear in his right thigh; injured in late September, so half weight.
BAY
●
Key defender out · FC Augsburg
Augsburg lose first-choice centre-back Noahkai Banks to a knee ligament injury picked up on under-21 duty.
AUG
●
Key attacker out · Bayern München
Bayern's main creator Jamal Musiala is out with a thigh muscle-fibre tear; long known, so half weight.
BAY
▼
J. Musiala out
J. Musiala: Muscle Injury
BAY
▼
T. Buchmann out
T. Buchmann: Knee Injury
BAY
▼
U. Ogundu doubtful
U. Ogundu: Abdominal strain
AUG
▼
S. Mounie doubtful
S. Mounie: Injury
AUG

Preview

Augsburg have made a strong start, fourth with 7 points, and they beat Bayern 2-1 in Munich in January. This will be harder. Their first-choice centre-back Noahkai Banks damaged a knee ligament with Germany's under-21s and is out for the foreseeable future. Tim Breithaupt, Steve Mounie, Sima Suso and Faik Sakar are also listed as absent. Bayern are second with 10 points, have conceded just 0.5 goals per game, and are without Jamal Musiala, who has a thigh muscle-fibre tear. They travel to Viking Stavanger in the Champions League on Tuesday, but the Bundesliga's projected line-up still has Harry Kane, Michael Olise and Luis Diaz starting. Meetings between these sides have produced goals: all of the last five went over 2.5, and Bayern won four of them. With Banks missing from the Augsburg defence, we rate a Bayern win at about 81%. The prices are too short for a pick, though.

Our verdict

Bayern should win in Augsburg, with Banks out of the home defence. At 1.23 the price is below our minimum, so no pick.

Head to head

2026-01-24Bayern München 1–2 FC AugsburgBundesliga
2025-08-30FC Augsburg 2–3 Bayern MünchenBundesliga
2025-04-04FC Augsburg 1–3 Bayern MünchenBundesliga
2024-11-22Bayern München 3–0 FC AugsburgBundesliga
2024-01-27FC Augsburg 2–3 Bayern MunichBundesliga

FAQ

What is the best bet for FC Augsburg vs Bayern München?

The market favourite is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.15, rated 83% by the market.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The chance of three or more goals is 84% for this match.

When does FC Augsburg vs Bayern München kick off?

Sat 10 Oct, 13:30 UTC.