SureTips.ai
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund crest

Borussia Dortmund

WWWW
VS
71%
confidence
Werder Bremen crest

Werder Bremen

WDWL
Sure pickOver 2.5 goals
Odds1.40

Win probability

69%Borussia Dortmund
20%Draw
11%Werder Bremen

Markets

Over 2.5 goals71%
Over 3.5 goals50%
Under 2.5 goals29%
Both teams score (GG)47%
Double chance 1X89%

Key factors

  • ▼
    Starter out · Werder Bremen

    Skelly Alvero has a calf injury and is unavailable for the foreseeable future, adding to a Bremen midfield already without Jens Stage and Senne Lynen.

    WER
  • ▼
    Backup goalkeeper · Werder Bremen

    First-choice keeper Karl Hein has a thigh bruise from Estonia duty and his availability is uncertain, with Alexander Schlager on standby (half weight while unconfirmed).

    WER
  • ▼
    Key player out · Borussia Dortmund

    Nico Schlotterbeck hurt his ankle with Germany; Kovac says playing on Friday is possible but will be decided after Thursday training (doubtful, half weight).

    DOR
  • ▼
    Starter out · Borussia Dortmund

    Right-back Julian Ryerson took a knock on Norway duty and left camp early; Dortmund have no real alternative at right-back since Yan Couto left (half weight while doubtful).

    DOR
  • ●
    Key defender out · Borussia Dortmund

    A Dortmund back line possibly without Schlotterbeck makes a Bremen goal more likely (half weight while doubtful).

    DOR
  • ▼
    N. Stark doubtful

    N. Stark: Hip Injury

    WER
  • ▼
    S. Lynen doubtful

    S. Lynen: Hip Injury

    WER
  • ▼
    K. Topp out

    K. Topp: Knee Injury

    WER

Preview

Dortmund come out of the international break top of the Bundesliga with four wins from four, without conceding a goal at Signal Iduna Park and averaging two and a half goals per home game. Bremen are eighth and short of bodies: Skelly Alvero has a calf injury and joins Jens Stage, Senne Lynen, Felix Agu and Moussa Ndiaye on the sidelines, while first-choice goalkeeper Karl Hein is a doubt with a thigh bruise from Estonia duty, with Alexander Schlager on standby. Dortmund carry doubts too. Nico Schlotterbeck hurt his ankle with Germany and Niko Kovac will decide after Thursday's training, and right-back Julian Ryerson took a knock with Norway, a position where Dortmund have no real alternative since Yan Couto's departure. Those doubts trim Dortmund's win chance slightly but lift the goals markets: a reshuffled home defence and a possible backup keeper at the other end point to an open game. The last five meetings produced 12 goals.

Our verdict

Dortmund should win, but the clearest angle is goals: Bremen's injuries and Dortmund's defensive doubts point to three or more.

Head to head

  • 2026-05-16Werder Bremen 0–2 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
  • 2026-01-13Borussia Dortmund 3–0 Werder BremenBundesliga
  • 2025-01-25Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder BremenBundesliga
  • 2024-08-31Werder Bremen 0–0 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
  • 2024-03-09Werder Bremen 1–2 Borussia DortmundBundesliga

FAQ

What is the best bet for Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?

Our top pick is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.40, rated 71% confidence.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The chance of three or more goals is 71% for this match.

When does Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen kick off?

Fri 09 Oct, 18:30 UTC.