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Bundesliga · Germany
1899 Hoffenheim crest

1899 Hoffenheim

LWLL
VS
69%
confidence
Hamburger SV crest

Hamburger SV

WLLL
Sure pick1899 Hoffenheim to win
Odds1.49

Win probability

69%1899 Hoffenheim
19%Draw
12%Hamburger SV

Markets

Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals48%
Under 2.5 goals32%
Both teams score (GG)56%
Double chance 1X88%

Key factors

  • ▼
    Starter out · Hamburger SV

    Striker Patson Daka, who has played every league game this season, tore a muscle fibre in his thigh after Zambia duty; coach Merlin Polzin says the Hoffenheim game comes too soon for him.

    HAM
  • ▼
    A. Rossing-Lelesiit doubtful

    A. Rossing-Lelesiit: Ankle Injury

    HAM
  • ▼
    T. Moffi doubtful

    T. Moffi: Knee Injury

    HAM
  • ▼
    M. Vuskovic out

    M. Vuskovic: Doping

    HAM
  • ▼
    A. Gronbaek out

    A. Gronbaek: Thigh Injury

    HAM
  • ▼
    P. Daka out

    P. Daka: Thigh Injury

    HAM
  • ▼
    A. Hajdari doubtful

    A. Hajdari: Muscle Injury

    HOF

Preview

Two sides who have made poor starts meet in Sinsheim. Hoffenheim are 14th with 3 points, and Hamburg are 16th, also on 3 points, with one win and three defeats. Hoffenheim have the healthier squad: the Bundesliga's official preview lists no absentees for them. Hamburg's attack is thin. Patson Daka, who has played in every league game, tore a muscle fibre in his thigh after Zambia duty, and coach Merlin Polzin says Saturday comes too soon for him and for Albert Gronbaek. Terem Moffi has a knee problem and trained alone, and Yussuf Poulsen also worked individually after coming off early in a friendly. Hamburg have yet to score away from home this season and have conceded 3.5 per away game. Hoffenheim have won the last two meetings, 4-1 at home and 2-1 in Hamburg. With Hamburg short of strikers and a full squad for the hosts, we rate a Hoffenheim win at about 69%.

Our verdict

Hamburg are short of strikers and have not scored away this season. We back Hoffenheim to win at 1.49.

Head to head

  • 2026-04-25Hamburger SV 1–2 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
  • 2025-12-131899 Hoffenheim 4–1 Hamburger SVBundesliga
  • 2018-04-141899 Hoffenheim 2–0 Hamburger SVBundesliga
  • 2017-11-26Hamburger SV 3–0 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
  • 2017-04-08Hamburger SV 2–1 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga

FAQ

What is the best bet for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV?

Our top pick is 1899 Hoffenheim to win at odds of 1.49, rated 69% confidence.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The chance of three or more goals is 68% for this match.

When does 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV kick off?

Sat 10 Oct, 13:30 UTC.